Os cérebros australianos Confie

Australian politicians win the Darwin award for gross stupidity of the highest order. Exactly who would be so stupid as to shut down ALL of our refineries and leave us totally defenceless. We know, all those types who love the United Nations and thing we are going to live under a new world order where everything is wonderful and we live in the delusional world of unicorns rainbows and lollipops. Their conduct is sufficient to bring Australia to its knees within a week. We at AIM find this reprehensible in the extreme. What you read here is because of Party Politics, that simple. So how is all the food going to get into the cities?

Australia’s fuel supplies vulnerable if Middle East conflict cuts supply

A tug pulls up next to an oil tanker at the Port of Melbourne

Last weekend’s attack on Saudi Arabia’s biggest oil-production facilities is a stark reminder of the vulnerability of the world’s oil supplies.

Pontos chave:

  • Official estimates put Australia’s domestic fuel reserves at about three weeks of typical use, but analysts say some companies could run out in a week
  • Australia imports around 90 per cent of its refined fuel needs, with most of that ultimately sourced from the Middle East
  • Transport companies want the Australian Government to dramatically increase domestic fuel reserves

Mais que 5 per cent of global supply was taken out by the drones and missiles that hit the Aramco facility in Abqaiq.

Fortunately, it proved a temporary hiccup, com os sauditas trabalhando rapidamente para obter a produção de volta aos trilhos.

Mas uma ameaça maior está por vir.

Arábia Saudita, instigado pelos Estados Unidos, é trabalhar horas extraordinárias para apontar o dedo para o Irã, today displaying fragments from missiles and drones which it said proved Tehran’s involvement.

Linha-dura republicanos nos EUA estão chamando para a guerra.

Presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, o homem que vai tomar a decisão final sobre que, disse os EUA estão prontos para atacar, mas, pelo menos por agora, que não vai ser a sua primeira opção.

An all-out war in the Middle East will do a lot more damage to the region’s oil infrastructure than a few missiles and drones, whether launched by Houthi rebels or Iran itself.

One week or three, Australia is low on domestic supplies

And Australia has a lot to worry about.

If there was a major interruption, our supply chains and stockholdings of fuel are very small, and the Government doesn’t own any,” retired Air Vice Marshal John Blackburn told the ABC.

As a former number two in the Royal Australian Air Force, John Blackburn has conducted three studies of Australia’s fuel security, and is disappointed in what he has found.

Australia’s fuel reserves are all about ‘just-in-timelogistics delivery,” ele disse.

It makes economic sense, but it’s not very resilient.

Air Vice Marshal Blackburn claims Australia could be brought to its knees in a week if there is a major interruption to fuel supplies.

Oil spike’s economic risks

Oil spike's economic risks
The global economy is still heavily dependent on oil, especialmente para o transporte, ou seja, qualquer interrupção de fornecimento poderia aumentar os preços e prejudicar o crescimento.

Parece alarmista, mas os próprios números do governo apoiar seu ponto de vista sobre a vulnerabilidade da Austrália.

Em sua mais recente revisão de segurança de combustível líquido da Austrália, o Departamento de Meio Ambiente e Energia encontrada Austrália tinha reservas de 18 dias de gasolina, 22 dia de diesel e 23 dias de combustível de jato.

Ele disse que isso era por quanto tempo essas ações duraria sob uso normal, adicionando, “the most appropriate measure of domestic fuel stocks is in ‘consumption days'”.

Air Vice Marshal Blackburn said, when he did his reviews of fuel security, he found that most companies that are heavy fuel users had very small supplies.

He said generally a week or less.

That works when fuel deliveries keep arriving, but a Middle East war could change that.

Australia dependent on Middle East for fuel supplies

Australia imports the equivalent of around 90 per cent of its refined fuel needs. This includes finished products such as petrol, as well as oil which Australia’s four remaining refineries turn into finished product.

And this is where the current geopolitical tensions come into play.

Australia’s biggest sources of refined products are Korea, Cingapura, Japão, Malaysia and China.

Where do they get their oil? Most of them get it mainly from the Middle East.

Source of refined product % of oil from Middle East
Cingapura 88
Japão 87
South Korea 81
Malásia 42
China 30

Fonte: Department of Environment and Energy

A war in the Middle East that stops the oil tankers is going to have a huge impact on the vast majority of Australia’s petrol, diesel and jet fuel imports.

Air Vice Marshal Blackburn accuses the Australian Government of being negligent.

It doesn’t own stocks in the country, it doesn’t mandate minimum stock levels maintained by industry, like most other developed countries,” ele disse.

We are just basically at the mercy of the market. And you’ve got to remember, most of the oil companies we deal with are foreign owned.

Other countries are better placed to cope.

For example, the United States Government has 700 million barrels of fuel in storage, qual, it is estimated, could keep the country ticking over for six months, albeit with heavy rationing.

US oil reserves

US oil reserves
The US has more than 640 million barrels of crude oil stored in giant caverns underneath Texas and Louisiana in case of import disruptions.

The Australian Government is negotiating with the US to access some of those reserves if worst comes to worst.

The idea that we’re going to pay the United States for part of their stocks held in caverns in Louisiana is something that would help us address our IEA obligations, but that’s not there for our domestic security in Australia,” scoffed Air Vice Marshal Blackburn.

Under those International Energy Agency (IEA) obligations, Austrália, like many other countries, is expected to hold 90 days of net fuel imports in reserve.

In its most recent assessment at the end of last year, the Department of Environment and Energy put the actual level at 53 dias.

Contudo, as Air Vice Marshal Blackburn alluded to above, the IEA formula can include fuel not in the country.

Fonte: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-19/australia-remains-vulnerable-to-running-out-of-fuel/11527492

Exitos: 18

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